Bid Bond Return

I’m biased.  I’ll admit it.  I’m not afraid to tell you that when it comes to investing in bonds I’ve paid more attention to Barry Bonds than investment grade bonds.  Seriously, how could I not pay attention to the disgraced baseball player?  I lived in San Francisco for 10 years and I went to Giant’s games all the time.  I watched him hit home run after home run.

He was the local star.  It was exciting to see him out in the city at restaurants and nightclubs . . . or just on the street.  I’ll be the first to admit, the guy had star power.  He just exuded an enviable level of confidence.  And he was always surrounded by beautiful people, fans, and the media.  He brought a level of excitement with him wherever he went.

It’s sad that he disgraced himself and the sport by (allegedly?) using illegal performance enhancing drugs.

But I’m not a sportswriter, and that’s another topic for another day. What I wanted to discuss was the idea of bonds in your portfolio (and I don’t mean Barry Bonds baseball cards).  I wanted to challenge the status quo.  So I’m asking the question:

Do you really need to own bonds?

Just a reminder.  I’m a bit biased when it comes to bonds.  I’ve always been an equity guy.  Even during my banking career, the few bond deals I did had significant equity components.  So I’ve always been partial to investing in equities, and only equities.

So before I answer the key question about bonds, I want to point out something very important.

You can lose money in bonds.  You can lose lots of money in bonds, and it can happen very quickly.  When investors talk about bonds they normally discuss them as safe stable investments.  However, the value of a bond is adjusted against prevailing interest rates.

For example if you own a bond with a 5% interest rate and then rates fall to 4% your bond will increase in value.  Because you’re bond pays a higher rate of interest, other investors are willing to pay more for your bond.

But the opposite is true as well.

If interest rates go up, the value of any bond you own will go down.  Now with bonds, a loss in value is only a loss if you sell.  You can always hold the bond and collect your stated interest payments up until the maturity date.

Bonds are traditionally very stable.

They provide fixed rates of return for investors, which is great in retirement.  This is an important point for anyone hoping to retire – which should be all of us.  The markets gyrate and you can’t ever be certain that you’ll be investing in a bear or bull market during retirement.

This begs for some stability in cash flows.  Normally, I’d focus on individual stocks throwing off dividends.  But even dividend paying stocks have risks.  A dividend can be reduced or eliminated.  For example, Pfizer’s (PFE) paid a dividend every quarter for more than 100 years, but many now think the dividend may soon be cut for the first time. 

The obvious solution then is to be prepared to generate some income in retirement from bonds.

The closer you get to retirement the more bonds you should own.  But, how much is enough?  One simple rule of thumb – the percentage of bonds in your portfolio should match your age.  So, if you’re forty, you should have 40% in bonds.  If you’re 60 then 60%. 

Nobody’s been able to answer my question of what to do when you hit 101?  But I digress.

There are a number of ways to invest in bonds, but this gets confusing. Bonds have a wide variety of maturity rates, tax consequences, call features, and in some cases, conversion features.  I’m sure at some point I’ll address these issues.  But for now let me give you the lazy way to investing in bonds.

Buy a few Bond ETFs.

You know me.  I like to keep it simple with my investments.  And iShares is now offering a series of ETFs making it easy to invest in bonds.  These ETF’s allow you to invest in bonds based on their maturities. 

For example, they have funds focused on bonds that will mature in 1-3 years, 3-7 years, 7-10 years, 10-20 years, and 20+ years.  It’s a good idea to have a mixture of short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term bonds in your portfolio for diversification.

If you want to add bonds to your portfolio right now, take a look at the iShares Lehman 1-3 year Treasury Bond Fund (SHY).  It’s yielding around 3.53%.  Longer-term bond funds may offer a higher yield, but shorter-term bonds like these will hold their value better if interest rates start to rise.

The post Bid Bond Return appeared first on Surety, Contract, Payment, and Performance Bonds.

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